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Trade Findings and Adjustments 02-03-22

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Trade Findings and Adjustments 02-03-22

Keve Bybee – keve@hurleyinvestments.com

The Put Option

  • The right to SELL stock at a certain price
  • Increases in value when? When the stock price goes down
  • Decreases in value when? Loses value when stock prices go up
  • What price can you sell it at? Sell at the strike price
  • Premium is what you pay for the option contract

FaceBook

What happened!?!?!?!?

  • EPS was supposed to be $3.84 and came in at $3.67
  • Revenue beat. $33.67b vs $33.4b
  • Slowing revenue growth? Next quarter forecast is $27b and analysts wanted $30.15b
  • Advertising challenges from Apple’s new iPhone policy. $10b revenue hit this year.
  • “Reels” have become more popular but not as much ad revenue from them.
  • Dividing out sections on earnings showing apps, medical, metaverse numbers to give investors a better idea what is happening on specific sections of the company.
  • Spent 10b on metaverse. This is an investment into the future. Not “losing money” like it’s not successful.
  • Market doesn’t seem to see that FB is investing as a huge plus right now
  • Does all this justify losing 24% of their value? I don’t think so.
  • Metaverse investments is more transitory and will drive future growth higher.

Why isn’t it making up EVERY DOLLAR on the way down?!

  • Insurance: you pay a premium but you DON’T get it back when you get in a car wreck.
  • Delta – How much the option price will change per dollar that the stock changes.

So do we sell FB?

  • We can but we can also sell our put option and buy more shares at much lower prices.
  • When? We have to wait and see where the stock goes.
  • Do we some dip buying tomorrow?
  • Do we see it fall below the $240 support level?
  • Breaks support? Buy more puts!

BURN BABY BURN!!!!

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